The steepness of this predicted response can be seen in Fig.
1a, which is based on a paper on temperature feedbacks by Professor Richard Lindzen’s former student Professor Gerard Roe in 2009.
With this month’s RSS (Remote Sensing Systems satellite) temperature record, the Pause beats last month’s record and now stands at 18 years 9 months.' As the faithful gather around their capering shamans in Paris for the New Superstition’s annual festival of worship, the Pause lengthens yet again.
One-third of Man’s entire influence on climate since the Industrial Revolution has occurred since February 1997.
On the questioners’ side it is rational: on the believers’ side it is a matter of increasingly blind faith.
The New Superstition is no Technical note Our latest topical graph shows the least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean lower-troposphere dataset for as far back as it is possible to go and still find a zero trend.
However, this is not a rational scientific discourse.Now, almost three years later, the Pause is almost three years longer.It is worth understanding just how surprised the modelers ought to be by the persistence of the Pause.The divergence between the models’ predictions in 1990 (Fig. 3), on the one hand, and the observed outturn, on the other, continues to widen.If the Pause lengthens just a little more, the rate of warming in the quarter-century since the IPCC’s in 1990 will fall below 1 C°/century equivalent. Near-term projections of warming at a rate equivalent to 2.8 [1.9, 4.2] K/century, made with “substantial confidence” in IPCC (1990), for the 309 months January 1990 to September 2015 (orange region and red trend line), vs.